Mainz inconsistent with cracks at the back
Mainz have had a mixed start to the season, picking up only one win from the opening four rounds which leaves them in the bottom half of the table. Their 4-1 away victory over Augsburg in the last matchday was a morale boost but inconsistency remains an issue.
Their attack is relatively balanced with four different scorers in that game showing variety going forward. However, the absence of key defender Dominik Kohr due to suspension exposes a fragile backline especially when facing stronger opposition.
Dortmund unbeaten run continues with firepower upfront
Dortmund have looked every bit a title challenger so far with three wins and one draw from their first four matches. A narrow 1-0 win over Wolfsburg in the last round underlined their ability to grind out results when needed.
The attacking numbers are impressive with thirteen goals scored in their last five outings. On the road they remain unbeaten in eight consecutive games which adds extra confidence heading into this clash. With Bayern only two points ahead Dortmund know victory here could put them in pole position.
Head to head and betting outlook
Looking at the recent meetings Dortmund hold the upper hand with six wins in their last ten encounters. Mainz often struggle against their pressing game and defensive gaps are likely to be punished.
Key numbers to note
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Mainz concede an average of 1.75 goals per game
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Dortmund score an average of 2.6 goals per game
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Market sentiment is leaning towards the visitors with most lines priced in their favor
? Recommended pick is Dortmund to win away
? Predicted scoreline 0-2 or 1-2
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